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[...] Results In order to try to answer our research question, we want to see if this confidence score varies according to certain demographic characteristics, and according to the interest shown in politics. We then build cross-tabulations that we present in Table 2. We then look at the distribution of confidence in political institutions by sex, age, and level of education. Our first observation is that fewer women than men show confidence in political institutions, with only 5.9% having high confidence, compared to 10.7% for men. [...]
[...] The level of education also appears to be correlated, as it appears that the higher the level of education, the greater the confidence in political institutions. However, the point gap between lack of education and high level of education is only 2.6 points for people showing high confidence, whereas this gap is much larger for age and sex. In other words, the level of education seems to be less correlated with confidence in political institutions than sex and especially age. [...]
[...] The path of generational renewal therefore seems to be confirmed here. Annex R Script library(car) library(questionr) #loading packages setwd('C:/Users/admin/Desktop/scpolq') bdd read.csv('EA22 (3).csv', #loading data #Variables of institutional trust scale: #we make a score of the three types of political trust that interest us and we start by removing 1 from the scores because they are coded between 1 and 11 bdd$ass_nat bdd$ea22_i10_1 - 1 #National Assembly bdd$polq bdd$ea22_i10_4 - 1 #political personalities bdd$partis bdd$ea22_i10_5 - 1 #political parties bdd$conf bdd$ass_nat + bdd$polq + bdd$partis #on additionne les 3 variables bdd$conf car::recode(bdd$conf, "9998:29994 = #on recode les valeurs manquantes pour éviter les biais dans les calculs prochains de moyennes table(bdd$conf) bdd$conf bdd$conf/6 #we divide by 6 to have a score between 0 and 5 bdd$conf ifelse(bdd$conf ≤ 'low confidence', ifelse(bdd$conf > 2 & bdd$conf ≤ 'medium confidence', 'high confidence')) #then we transform it into a categorical variable table(bdd$conf) round(prop.table(wtd.table(bdd$conf, weights = bdd$poids_ea22))*100, #flat weighted tri of the variable of institutional trust weighted.mean(bdd$ass_nat, bdd$poids_ea22, na.rm = TRUE) #Weighted Averages of Institutional Trust weighted.mean(bdd$polq, bdd$poids_ea22, na.rm = TRUE) weighted.mean(bdd$partis, bdd$poids_ea22, na.rm = TRUE) #VARIABLES OF INTEREST #we start by recoding to facilitate treatments bdd$int_pol car::recode(bdd$ea22_i1, = 'bcp/assez' ; 3 = 'peu' ; 4 = 'pdt' ; 9999 = #are you interested in politics? [...]
[...] Thus, it appears that interest in politics implies great confidence in institutions, but this correlation seems much less intense among young people than among older people. Being interested in politics does not therefore seem to be a sufficient condition for young people to show great confidence. Table Confidence in political institutions by age modulated by political interest Confidence in political institutions Little confidence Average confidence Great confidence Total 58,2 33,6 8,2 18-35 years Political interest : Not at all 97,3 2,7 A little 61,4 35,6 3 Quite/Very much 57,1 37,3 5,6 36-55 years Political interest : Not at all 75,4 24,4 0,3 A little 70,1 26,3 3,6 Quite/Very much 55,5 32,9 11,6 56 and over Political interest : Not at all 69,5 30,5 A little 49,4 40,1 10,5 Quite/Very much 44,4 44,4 15,8 Source : ELIPSS 2022 Fields : respondents to the ELIPSS 2022 survey Note : the data is weighted by the variable weights_ea22 Reading : 97.3% of 18-35 year olds with no interest in politics have little confidence in political institutions Conclusion Trust in political institutions is rather low in the general population. [...]
[...] Given that our hypothesis is focused on young adults and the way their interest in politics shapes their confidence in institutions, we construct a variable combining age and level of interest in politics, which we then cross with confidence (table 4). Beyond highlighting the positive correlation between age and confidence, and between political interest and confidence, this table shows that the older people are (56 years and older), the more interest they have in politics, the more confidence they have in institutions: indeed of those aged 56 and over with a lot of interest have great confidence. [...]
