This essay will demonstrate that the current situation does not immediately menace the peace in Ireland, but actually breaks the compromise the Good Friday agreement had made possible; and, that this situation could, in the long term, cause a revival of nationalisms which could, at the end, seriously threaten the peace.
At first, we will have a flashback on the former Irish conflict and the Good Friday agreement of 1998, in order to better understand what the causes of that old conflict were and assess if these causes can be considered as obsolete or not. At second, we will demonstrate how the current Brexit crisis is menacing the Irish peace since we understood – too late – its incompatibility with the former agreements. Finally, we will try to imagine if some scenarios could cause a new conflict in Ireland in the medium to long term.
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