Abstract
The category of political risk premium is determined by the steering committee based on a technical analysis of risk. For this purpose, a quantitative model was developed by SA Ducroire, mainly taking into account the evolution of the liquidity of the debtor countries. It involves assessing the ability of each country to meet its payment obligations.
It goes without saying that the assessment of business risk is primarily a micro-economic analysis done case by case and on the debtor's business and industry in which it operates. This analysis depends on the acceptance of a debtor and the possible addition of certain conditions of coverage. However, there are factors that influence the business risk level of a country and affect the ability to pay off all debtors of that country. It may, for example, be the effects of a sharp devaluation, high interest rates, economic recession, a context of widespread corruption, etc. This "macro-economic" or systemic business risk is part of country risks.
